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BACKGROUND: Various risk classification systems (RCSs) are used globally to stratify newly diagnosed patients with prostate cancer (PCa) into prognostic groups. OBJECTIVE: To compare the predictive value of different prognostic subgroups (low-, intermediate-, and high-risk disease) within the RCSs for detecting metastatic disease on prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) for primary staging, and to assess whether further subdivision of subgroups would be beneficial. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Patients with newly diagnosed PCa, in whom PSMA-PET/CT was performed between 2017 and 2022, were studied retrospectively. Patients were stratified into risk groups based on four RCSs: European Association of Urology, National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN), Cambridge Prognostic Group (CPG), and Cancer of the Prostate Risk Assessment. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The prevalence of metastatic disease on PSMA-PET/CT was compared among the subgroups within the four RCSs. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: In total, 2630 men with newly diagnosed PCa were studied. Any metastatic disease was observed in 35% (931/2630) of patients. Among patients classified as having intermediate- and high-risk disease, the prevalence of metastases ranged from approximately 12% to 46%. Two RCSs further subdivided these groups. According to the NCCN, metastatic disease was observed in 5.8%, 13%, 22%, and 62% for favorable intermediate-, unfavorable intermediate-, high-, and very-high-risk PCa, respectively. Regarding the CPG, these values were 6.9%, 13%, 21%, and 60% for the corresponding risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: This study underlines the importance of nuanced risk stratification, recommending the further subdivision of intermediate- and high-risk disease given the notable variation in the prevalence of metastatic disease. PSMA-PET/CT for primary staging should be reserved for patients with unfavorable intermediate- or higher-risk disease. PATIENT SUMMARY: The use of various risk classification systems in patients with prostate cancer helps identify those at a higher risk of having metastatic disease on prostate-specific membrane antigen positron emission tomography/computed tomography for primary staging.
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Background and objectives: The association between prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level and probability of metastatic disease on prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) has not yet been established in patients with newly diagnosed prostate cancer (PCa). Our objective was to assess the probability of metastatic disease within different PSA ranges using PSMA PET/CT for initial staging of PCa, and to identify both the anatomical distribution and the predictors of metastases on PSMA PET/CT. Methods: In total, 2193 patients with newly diagnosed PCa were retrospectively studied. PSMA PET/CT was performed for staging purposes between January 2017 and May 2022. The proportion of patients with PSMA-avid metastases, stratified by PSA level, was studied. A vast majority of patients in whom at least one high-risk prognostic factor was present underwent PSMA PET/CT. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the predictors of metastases on PSMA PET/CT using clinical, biochemical, radiological, and pathological variables. Key findings and limitations: The median PSA level at PSMA PET/CT was 14.1 ng/ml. Any metastatic disease (miN1-M1a-c) was observed in 34.7% (763/2193) of all patients and distant metastases (miM1a-c) in 25.4% (557/2193) of patients. The presence of any metastatic disease increased with PSA levels, being 15.4% in men with PSA levels <10 ng/ml and 87.5% in men with PSA levels >100 ng/ml. The multivariable logistic regression analysis found significant associations between the presence of any metastatic disease and PSA subgroups, clinical tumor stage ≥T2, grade group >3, and radiological tumor stage ≥T3b. Conclusions and clinical implications: This is the first large epidemiological study in patients with PCa demonstrating the association between PSA subgroups and metastatic disease on modern imaging PSMA PET/CT. Data from this study can be used to counsel patients on the probability of metastatic disease at the time of PSA screening and to provide guidance on existing guidelines. Patient summary: The prostate-specific antigen level could be used to assess the risk of metastases on prostate-specific membrane antigen positron (PSMA) emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT). This knowledge is valuable for selecting patients who will benefit most from metastatic screening with PSMA PET/CT.
